Madrid Derby: Champions League Edition | OneFootball

These local rivals always produce a banger of a game, ending either in a close match, or a lopsided victory. The last time these two teams faced off was on the 9th of February 2025. Julián Alvarez scored a penalty on the first half to put Atlético the lead. However, just minutes into the second half, Mbappé pulled one back to equalize the game for Real Madrid. The match ended in a 1-1 draw.

From a statistical standpoint Real Madrid were in control, boasting 61% possession along with 92% pass accuracy.

A Higher Stakes Derby

This Round of 16 fixture holds significant importance for Real Madrid, and specifically for Kylian Mbappé. Despite all his individual accolades, he has yet to lift the coveted Champions League Trophy. The first leg will be hosted by Real Madrid at the Santiato Bernabéu, in which we all expect Mbappé eager to bring this victory home.

BARCELONA, SPAIN – FEBRUARY 25: Julian Alvarez of Atletico de Madrid celebrates scoring his team’s first goal during the Copa del Rey Semi Final match between FC Barcelona and Atletico de Madrid at Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys on February 25, 2025 in Barcelona, Spain. (Photo by Alex Caparros/Getty Images)

Atlético Madrid, on the other hand, will be starting with confidence. They recently held La Liga leaders Barcelona to a 4-4 draw, which is an achievement most teams have not pulled off this season. Even Real has yet to win, or at least draw, Atlético in either La Liga or The Supercopa.

Key Players

One of Atlético’s standout performers this season has been Julián Alvarez. He seems to thrive against top clubs, scoring crucial goals against the likes of Barcelona, Leverkusen, and Real in their last encounter. His ability to step up in these types of games makes him my player to watch in this tie.

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Real’s man to watch has to be Mbappé. We all know about his speed, his finishing, and his ability to turn games on to favor his side. This could be the game where he takes a decisive step as a number 9 to fulfill his Champions League aspirations.

Vinícius Jr.

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Any Madrid Derby will never lack drama, and I don’t see this one being any different. The intensity often boils over. A player who has historically struggled in this fixture is Vinícius Jr. The Brazilian has just one goal in 15 matches against Atlético, whose players often provoke him to get a reaction. Most of the time, it does work. Vini will need to control his emotions, or else Mbappé will have to carry him like a turtle shell on his back. Turtle Power.

Prediction

It’s difficult to bet against Real Madrid, especially when it comes to the Champions League. The sheer number of CL trophies in their cabinet speaks for itself. That aside, with Atletico Madrid’s recent form, I am unable to tell who takes the lead on this first leg. I see the game at a 2-2 draw at full-time. Everything will then be decided on a nail-biting second leg at the Metropolitano.