OneFootball
·17 May 2025
OneFootball
·17 May 2025
This article was translated into English by Artificial Intelligence. You can read the original version in 🇮🇹 here.
There are only two matchdays left until the end of the championship and many verdicts are still to be issued: Scudetto, 4th place and relegation zone.
Let's see according to Opta what the outcomes of the last two rounds of Serie A will be.
According to Opta's algorithm, Napoli has a 77.33% chance of winning the championship while Inter only has a 26.23% chance. This figure is greatly reduced by the Nerazzurri's upcoming clash against Lazio, theoretically more complex than the matches awaiting Napoli.
Inter is expected to stop at 81 points, so Napoli would need a win and a draw in the last two.
According to Opta, Juventus has a huge advantage for the 4th place: a whopping 62.8% chance of qualifying for the next Champions League. In this case too, the Bianconeri's upcoming opponents matter: Udinese and Venezia.
Lazio has a 16.63% chance (due to the clash with Inter), Roma has a 14.09% chance (the match with Milan has a big impact), Bologna has a 6.16% chance. Very low hopes for Milan and Fiorentina: respectively 0.28% and 0.6%.
In the lower areas of the table, the team most at risk is Lecce: in 77.34% of the simulations it goes down to Serie B, in this case too the last match with Lazio has an impact.
The other team to be relegated according to Opta will be Venezia with a 63.49% chance. The last match against Juventus weighs heavily in this calculation.
Empoli also risks a lot with a 52.40% chance of relegation despite the commitments against Monza (already relegated) and Verona which could arrive at the last matchday already safe.
Verona maintains a minimal "risk" of 0.62%, while Cagliari has a 0.70% chance. Parma is at 9.45%.
📸 Marco Luzzani - 2024 Getty Images
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