Football Italia
·30 mai 2025
Super computer names Inter underdogs in Champions League Final against PSG

Football Italia
·30 mai 2025
Inter are the underdogs in the Champions League Final against Paris Saint-Germain, according to the Opta Supercomputer, but some figures might be a good omen.
It kicks off in Munich on Saturday May 31 at 20.00 UK time (19.00 GMT, 21.00 CET).
It is remarkably the first ever competitive meeting between these teams, but both have made it to the Final recently and emerged defeated.
PSG lost to Bayern Munich in 2020 and the Nerazzurri were beaten by Manchester City in 2023.
epa12078776 FC Inter’s Francesco Acerbi (C) celebrates with his teammates after scoring the 3-3 goal during the UEFA Champions League semifinal 2nd leg soccer match between Inter Milan and FC Barcelona, in Milan, Italy, 06 May 2025. EPA-EFE/DANIEL DAL ZENNARO
With their history and this season’s form too in mind, the Opta Supercomputer has calculated that Paris Saint-Germain have a 56.6 per cent probability of winning the trophy, compared to Inter’s 43.4 per cent.
Going over more than 10,000 simulations, the computer believes PSG have a 44.6 per cent probability of winning it within 90 minutes, whereas Inter’s chances are just 29 per cent in normal time.
LONDON, ENGLAND – APRIL 28: Luis Enrique, Head Coach of Paris Saint-Germain, looks on as he speaks to the media during a press conference ahead of their UEFA Champions League 2024/25 semi final first leg match at Emirates Stadium on April 28, 2025 in London, England. (Photo by Alex Davidson/Getty Images)
However, it’s worth noting Simone Inzaghi’s men have befuddled the Opta Supercomputer already this season.
For example, after a 3-3 first leg semi-final draw with Barcelona, it gave Inter just a 44 per cent chance of going through – more or less the same as the prediction for this Final – but they won 7-6 on aggregate in extra time.
At the start of the Champions League, the same calculations figured Manchester City were the favourites to win the trophy on 25.3 per cent, followed by Real Madrid on 18.2 per cent and Inter just 10.9 per cent.