Unstoppable Liverpool: How Long Until They Seal Premier League Title? | OneFootball

Liverpool Closing in on Premier League Glory – When Could They Seal the Title?

Liverpool’s charge towards the Premier League title appears unstoppable. With a 15-point lead at the summit, the question is no longer if they will win the league, but when they will be officially crowned champions.

No team in English top-flight history has squandered such a commanding lead at this stage of the season. Having lost just once all campaign, Liverpool’s 3-1 victory over Southampton last weekend further solidified their dominance. Meanwhile, closest challengers Arsenal have faltered, dropping points in three consecutive games, including a 1-1 draw with Manchester United.

“Liverpool will look at it and think ‘Arsenal have almost given up the title race’,” former Manchester United captain Roy Keane told Sky Sports.

Ex-Arsenal midfielder Paul Merson echoed that sentiment, adding: “I will be saying now that Arsenal need to concentrate to get into the Premier League top four. Liverpool are too far away. They have only lost one game all season. [The title race] is over.”

Photo: IMAGO

With Nottingham Forest in third, four points behind Arsenal, and Chelsea a further two points adrift in fourth, the challenge to Liverpool’s dominance seems non-existent. Even Manchester City, winners of the last four titles, languish in fifth after a 1-0 defeat at Nottingham Forest.

How Soon Could Liverpool Clinch the Title?

Liverpool’s grip on the trophy looks unshakeable, and now it’s just a matter of pinpointing the decisive date. According to Opta, the Reds have a staggering 99.66% probability of winning the league. Arsenal, their nearest rivals, are left with a mere 0.34% chance.

Arne Slot’s side need 16 more points from their remaining nine matches to mathematically secure the title, assuming Arsenal win every game from here on out. The Gunners, with one match in hand, can only reach a maximum of 85 points.

If Liverpool win their next five fixtures while Arsenal win their next six, the decisive moment could come on 3 May against Chelsea at Stamford Bridge—where even a draw would be enough to confirm them as champions.

However, if results go their way sooner—should Liverpool win their next two games while both Arsenal and Nottingham Forest suffer four consecutive defeats—the title could be wrapped up as early as 12 April.

With Champions League commitments, a Carabao Cup final against Newcastle, and an international break on the horizon, Liverpool will not play another league fixture until April.

Photo: IMAGO

Could Liverpool Break More Records?

While Liverpool’s focus is firmly on securing the title, there are records within reach.

Their own record for the earliest title triumph—with seven games remaining in the 2019-20 season—could still be equalled, though it would require everything to align perfectly.

A more realistic milestone would be matching Manchester United (2000-01) and Manchester City (2017-18), who secured their titles with five games to spare. Other historic early triumphs include United (1999-2000, 2012-13) and Arsenal (2003-04), both wrapping up the league with four games left.

The earliest title win by date came on 14 April 2001, when Manchester United lifted the trophy. To break that record, Liverpool would need to extend their lead over Arsenal even further.

There’s also the potential for a record-winning margin. Manchester City set the benchmark in 2017-18, finishing 19 points clear of Manchester United while amassing 100 points. Liverpool’s maximum possible tally is 97, meaning they would need to extend their advantage at the top by seven points to surpass City’s historic gap.

However, for now, Liverpool’s focus remains singular: finishing the job. With history beckoning, the wait for their 20th top-flight title may soon be over.